You will WIN with 99.2% chance
date
Dec 3, 2024
URL
slug
you-will-win-with-992-chance
status
Published
tags
Probabilities
Numbers
Maths
summary
What if I tell you there is a chance for you to win the game with 99% odds?
type
Post
That’s correct. If you toss a coin, there’s a 50% chance you win by getting either heads or tails.
🎲 Numbers game
However, let’s say, you want to win with a higher chances and you’re desperate. Toss the coin 7 times and you’ll get your pick at least once with ~99.2% probability!
Yes, that might not map exactly as we wish to the real world scenarios, but think to yourself, when you’re about to do something, you try hard and your odds of winning that championship or say getting that contract or maybe landing a new job offer from top company is around 50/50. That’s when you remind yourself of number game.
🪨 Try your best
Try hard, even harder than before. On your third try you have 87.5% winning odds!!!
You should never give up!
🏎️ Formula
Here’s formula if you’re interested:
Where:
- n=7 (number of tosses),
- k (number of heads),
- p=0.5 (probability of heads).
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